Remember these headlines about this time last year?
Some folks just lose it when February starts getting close. Maybe it’s FanFest that drives them over the edge, I don’t know.
However, some folks don’t buy into the hype:
– 86 with Diamond Mind’s projection disk;
– 84 using PECOTA’s projections with DM; and
– (ready for this?) 81 using ZIPS projections in DM runs.
Yes, that was the first .500 prediction I had seen since the 90′s from a decent statistical mind, as SG is.
I said we’d lose 98 punching 4 keys on a calculator.
We lost 95 of course, so I suppose I creamed all three of the projection systems using DM.
I mentioned the other day that we are looking at 89 losses this year and will finish fifth in the division as the roster stood after acquiring LaRoche.
SG’s early run using CHONE’s projections has the Pirates losing 88 (knew I read that somewhere). Since the CHONE runs were done before LaRoche was added to the mix, I assume the projection will climb several more wins.
That made me want to go back and reopen my own projection data until I pulled the DVD out and read what I wrote on the disk: "2007 Pirates Projections – Littlefield GM".
I put the disk away comfortable with my work and realizing that SG must have pushed the same buttons Dave Littlefield did when he suggested Tike Redman should bat in the three-hole a couple of years ago.. or that he should sign Burnitz and Casey last year.. or that he should make Oliver Perez an add-on to the Hernandez trade last July.. or that Nady in right-field makes sense this year, or.. well, you get the idea.
Somethings just can’t be programed into Diamond Minds SG.
Ah shucks.. Jeff Weaver’s heading to Seattle to pitch. Who would have guessed he wasn’t coming to Pittsburgh?
From the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: "Patty Paytas, vice president of communications for the Pittsburgh Pirates, last night was honored as Renaissance Communicator of the Year by the Pittsburgh chapter of the Public Relations Society of America." Kudos go out to Ms. Paytas.
The Toronto Star talked about Tomo Ohka yesterday:
"While Ohka was supposedly flying from Japan to Toronto yesterday, his agent, Jim Masteralexis, indicated they had turned down two-year offers from both the Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals for the chance to play with a contender – or, more to the point, for a team that was going to score some runs."
I wonder if Ohka got a new screwdriver in his contract? Best of luck Tomo.
When Did Pittsburgh Become a Country Town, a guy named Sean asks.
Everyone wants to see Ryan Vogelsong’s wedding pictures. Here they are for you.
Well this makes sense. How ironic – drafted by the Pirates in 2005 and now can’t land a starting role with LSU. So he left the team.
The Indy Indians posted their spring training schedule a few days ago. Warning – I’ve never heard of that site before so exit with caution.
Poopsburgh Pirates? Coming from a guy named Bub, no less. Seventy-seven wins is what he predicts for the Pirates. Wait.. wait.. I know where I’ve heard that name before – isn’t he the last guy to get his butt patted in the Brewers commercial last year? Yeah – yeah! That’s him! Where’s the nearest KFC?
If you made it down this far you’re due a treat. Do I hear the pitter-patter of little rumor feet making their way toward Pittsburgh from LA? I barely hear them in the wind but what I do hear says starting pitcher. Stay tuned.